Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.702076 0.895071 1.111597 1.369805 1.666628 1.994572 2.381671
2025-08-31 0.429776 0.668571 0.970892 1.369217 1.867884 2.459885 3.203902
2025-09-07 0.291161 0.552045 0.921819 1.452218 2.162494 3.051883 4.220141
2025-09-14 0.193284 0.453142 0.865782 1.505970 2.414740 3.603745 5.221171
2025-09-21 0.123548 0.367092 0.802320 1.530161 2.619129 4.098966 6.171779
2025-09-28 0.071612 0.284379 0.718698 1.503534 2.739600 4.480175 6.984117
2025-10-05 0.043956 0.235228 0.677427 1.531586 2.934401 4.966019 7.949290
2025-10-12 0.025054 0.191753 0.632515 1.542325 3.097243 5.408205 8.865234
2025-10-19 0.011330 0.145239 0.563991 1.496637 3.161358 5.704276 9.582279
2025-10-26 0.004389 0.110538 0.508149 1.462207 3.235547 6.012440 10.320296
2025-11-02 0.001603 0.089528 0.478511 1.472717 3.382393 6.432012 11.226289
2025-11-09 0.000236 0.065409 0.426823 1.426482 3.423588 6.686676 11.895539
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.057408 0.425260 1.492282 3.673055 7.282814 13.094591
2025-11-23 NaN 0.044727 0.398943 1.496685 3.810018 7.705477 14.047790
2025-11-30 NaN 0.041164 0.408246 1.587552 4.113296 8.404566 15.431698
2025-12-07 NaN 0.035551 0.404872 1.646077 4.357546 9.014368 16.693081
2025-12-14 NaN 0.028706 0.390031 1.672507 4.540265 9.527673 17.817368
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020314 0.357122 1.644551 4.612836 9.859217 18.668582
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016200 0.346128 1.674570 4.801701 10.388843 19.833787
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012194 0.329871 1.686085 4.952024 10.855605 20.907757
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007473 0.296014 1.637535 4.973197 11.100897 21.638372
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004428 0.268254 1.600918 5.015288 11.381147 22.426913
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002980 0.255899 1.612117 5.160269 11.843259 23.510513